Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@GMikeParsons @davidshor @adams_hurta @mcpli @NLVWarren @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind @ProfNickStephan i'd love to be wrong--what kind of data journalist wouldn't want to see sinema and manchin throwing down about the efficiency gap v. mean median, or whatever. but i don't think i'll be! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@GMikeParsons @davidshor @adams_hurta @mcpli @NLVWarren @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind @ProfNickStephan maybe i'm naive, but i really don't think that, when the chips are down, congressional Democrats would split over which partisan gerrymandering test is acceptable — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@fmanjoo i do think it's true that it's used more by the right, but at various points over the last 50 years i think that's been true of virtually every word that could be used to describe the cultural left, whether it be liberal, feminist, socialist, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@fmanjoo i think i would? i'm not familiar with another word that clearly refers to the intellectually coherent mix of new-new left ideology and social norms on race, gender, etc. most of the other words seem even more derogatory ('social justice warrior'). is there an appropriate term? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MacFarlaneNews: MORE: FBI releases more video of Capitol Insurrection. They’re still trying to find this guy ===> https://t.co/t5jhdBt… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: New Siena poll on Cuomo: 35% Should resign immediately 50% Should not Caveat: Poll was in field up to Friday — the d… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @KevinQ: California is now in the precinct map. (Check out that blue stripe along the Pacific coast.) Up to 88% of the vote! https://t… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @jon_m_rob @mcpli @ProfNickStephan @GMikeParsons @NLVWarren @imillhiser @mattyglesias @DLind if you want something to be illegal, just say so! https://t.co/mdK1IbcEfE — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ProfNickStephan @mcpli @GMikeParsons @davidshor @NLVWarren @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind for me, such a rewrite would need to a) establish that violating any of these tests would constitute undue disadvantage, if that's the intent and b) add specificity about what it takes to violate the non-EG tests, given who will be interpreting it — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ProfNickStephan @mcpli @GMikeParsons @davidshor @NLVWarren @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind tbh i think some of my complaints about this section would be addressed by a rewrite for clarity — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mcpli @GMikeParsons @davidshor @NLVWarren @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind as it is, i don't think the per se test is coherent. i don't think it's even obviously a test, as written; i think it alludes to some semi-defined and potentially contradictory tests. i do think the efficiency gap, whatever its merits or dismerits, is a test and a coherent one — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ProfNickStephan @GMikeParsons @davidshor @NLVWarren @mcpli @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind most states aren't competitive! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@GMikeParsons @davidshor @NLVWarren @mcpli @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind so if there was a narrower and clearer rule (say one or two seats lost, depending on size of state, per the efficiency gap with presidential election data, which is something i can calculate pretty quickly when i make a map), i think you'd have something more useful — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@GMikeParsons @davidshor @NLVWarren @mcpli @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind so in effect i think your narrow rule is less of a rule and more just specifying some of the evidence that could be employed as part of the ToC standard — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@GMikeParsons @davidshor @NLVWarren @mcpli @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind i think if your narrow rule was clear, i'd agree. but instead you've piled all the different metrics into one semi-coherent and potentially conflicting rule — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @NLVWarren @mcpli @GMikeParsons @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind a 'totality of evidence' standard feels like what you might have hoped the court to adopt in the partisan gerrymandering cases in the absence of a clear constitutional or legislative criteria, but here you can just specify the criteria! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@imillhiser @davidshor @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind and some are at greater risks than others — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @imillhiser @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind congressionally imposed commissions are also at great risk of being struck down, it seems to me — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @jon_m_rob @mattyglesias @DLind @imillhiser HR1 doesn't fulfill any of the objectives that its advocates set out for it publicly, but i'm not sure it's a serious bill so it's hard to say — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @davidshor @mattyglesias @DLind @imillhiser As an aside, it seems to me that requiring independent commissions is far riskier from a constitutional standpoint than setting some standard--even an imperfect one like mean/median or efficiency gap, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @davidshor @mattyglesias @DLind @imillhiser I only read the title of the paper, but it's possible to greatly reduce partisan bias without greatly increasing electoral competition, given the extent of geographic polarization--and that does happen to be my prior on the effect of nonpartisan redistricting — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @sangerkatz: The stimulus bill increases Obamacare subsidies for nearly everyone. See how much in these maps, thanks to @KFF and @KevinQ… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I am blown away by how many responses are along the lines of this, but maybe I shouldn't be https://t.co/LxNiEoocWI — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@roneman90 uh yes, absolutely. "right" deserves to be in quotes, tho — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For what it's worth, Fox News didn't know this either and that's why they prematurely called Arizona for Biden — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Womp womp https://t.co/1rIYGnVKcB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Unlike most GOP restrictions on mail voting, this one targets a group of voters who backed Trump in 2020 https://t.co/7JYPEqC3h3 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Indeed! (Oppose is leading 43-40 at the time I'm pointing this out) https://t.co/BBRGMz6z5e — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Voter ID requirement met by one of the following: government issued photo-ID with address; two forms identification, both with name at least one with address (say, a utility bill and student ID); a sworn declaration by you and a reg. voter with ID who vouches for you. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basics: --Four days of in-person early voting, including a weekend --No excuse absentee voting, but application and ID required; ballot must be received by poll close (can drop off at staffed site (precinct) --Same day and auto reg. --Voter ID required, described in next tweet — PolitiTweet.org