Deleted tweet detection is currently running at reduced
capacity due to changes to the Twitter API. Some tweets that have been
deleted by the tweet author may not be labeled as deleted in the PolitiTweet
interface.
Showing page 184 of 504.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Either way, it's going to be a pretty big job for the parties - and let's be honest, Democrats - to follow up w/ voters who receive ballot rejection notices and help them "cure" their ballots; i.e. follow instructions properly so they count. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
At this point, there are two likely reasons for ballot rejection: voter error (failure to sign, etc.) and voter voluntarily canceling their ballot because they want to vote a different way. It's tough to know how much each is responsible for the discrepancy. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
So far in NC, November 2020 mail ballots cast by Black voters are being rejected at *four times* the rate of those cast by white voters. — PolitiTweet.org
John Couvillon @WinWithJMC
Accepted ballots (cumulative): (1) White 73%, black 18%, 9% other (2) Dem 58%, Rep 13%, Other 29% Rejected ballots… https://t.co/Q7KPp9JqFb
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @SCBegley: This detail from @CharlotteAlter's conversations with conspiracy theorists in Wisconsin is beyond horrifying https://t.co/S6j… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A few Dems are doing quite well in competitive districts by forcefully pushing back on "defunding the police" and touting support from law enforcement - an ad tactic we haven't really seen from the Biden camp yet. https://t.co/ExjKRMjqNJ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @gercohen: @rickhasen @jbarro @Redistrict in NC “spoiled” ballots are those voluntarily cancelled by the voter) -should not be viewed as… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The places likely to see the biggest shifts from Trump to Biden are historically red places that are heavily urbanized. That's why AZ, #NE02 and TX are at the top of the list. — PolitiTweet.org
Galen Druke @galendruke
The odds that Texas goes for Biden are about the same as the odds that Trump would win in 2016. If you still don’… https://t.co/LwppefwKuo
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Biden's biggest remaining challenge: social media giants are in way over their heads when it comes to vetting/stopping disinformation. A TV station would, in most cases, pull ads like these down. — PolitiTweet.org
Daniel Dale @ddale8
The Trump campaign's ads and online videos are just so dishonest, way worse than your standard political spin. My… https://t.co/GBxplKn3AD
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Now, the caveats: it's unlikely the partisan VBM gap will be quite that extreme, and it's possible the convenience of VBM could produce Dem votes that otherwise wouldn't have been cast. But this analysis also doesn't take into account mail ballots bound to arrive *too late.* — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Let's say there are each 2.5 million Biden/Trump voters in NC. 50% of Biden's voters vote by mail vs. 10% of Trump's. 4% of mail votes are initially rejected and only half of those voters successfully "cure." That's a 20k vote swing to Trump - roughly Obama's '08 margin in NC. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
So far, NC Dems are out-voting Reps 59%-12% by mail. But about 4% of mail ballots are being rejected for voter error and must be "cured" by the voter. That could be meaningful in a very close race. https://t.co/Jra4tGYwHq — PolitiTweet.org
John Couvillon @WinWithJMC
NORTH CAROLINA RETURNED VOTES (9/11): 9/8: 80/112 (71%) ballots returned were accepted 9/9: 1287/1373 (94%) 9/10:… https://t.co/QJBVgt1RmM
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This might be the most encouraging result for Trump in an otherwise discouraging poll - and Biden's "Be Not Afraid" ad does nothing to combat Trump's false line of attack on defunding police. https://t.co/JwWLGLpgGX https://t.co/Gqqmqv9hq9 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Believe it or not, this voter exists (and might help decide 2020)... https://t.co/C4NTtX0nfQ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Who’s chomping at the bit to vote by mail? Mostly white Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org
John Couvillon @WinWithJMC
Of the accepted ballots: (1) White 72%, black 18%, 10% other (2) Dem 59%, Rep 12%, Other 29% (2/2)
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just received this delightful mug anonymously in the mail. https://t.co/Te4NfHRhFR — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Bingo. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Not hugely surprising, but we find—in running regressions on every House race since 1998 and every Senate race sinc… https://t.co/uBfmZChEia
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JHagner: If they were doing these as 2018 style live polls half of this website would be institutionalized before October. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
All the money in the world won't allow team Biden to go back in time and fix the mistake of letting Trump beat them to the Spanish-language airwaves. But it could give Biden ad superiority in the homestretch, and we'll see if that helps him recover among both Cubans & NCHs. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In fairness, the Biden campaign also began running this more conventional ad on 8/26 in the Orlando/Tampa markets. https://t.co/rsHsjCAW2j — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
By contrast, Biden countered with this Bad Bunny ad in the Miami/Orlando/Tampa markets on September 1st. https://t.co/byxBtFb2AY — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
By contrast, Biden countered with this Bad Bunny ad in the Miami/Orlando on September 1st. https://t.co/byxBtFb2AY — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This Trump ad attacking socialism started airing in late July, weeks before Biden started airing Spanish-language ads in the Miami market. https://t.co/WI6usu5ONM — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A likely factor behind Trump's '16-'20 improvement w/ Hispanic voters: he's actually running a robust Spanish-language ad campaign this time, as opposed to "here's a taco bowl...I love Hispanics!" https://t.co/taVhhA3MGI — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @NickRiccardi: Typically good and nuanced warning from @SeanTrende https://t.co/ZWfZmkgCv9 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: More from NC Board of Election on fears of election being hacked: “The machines aren’t hackable, what is hackable is the mi… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Exactly... — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Then again, if Biden is winning the sorts of voters you need to win ME-2, he's probably also winning the Midwest +… https://t.co/tu7QHZLn5A
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @CookPolitical: 🚨New Electoral College rating changes: Florida - Lean D to Toss Up Nevada - Likely D to Lean D Read @amyewalter's lates… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @kirk_bado: Wrote earlier this week about the growing importance of health care for GOP candidates and these screen grabs from a primary… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
On the aggregate, seniors (65+) make up 25% of the vote in FL/AZ/WI/MI/PA/NC vs. just 21% elsewhere. Led, of course, by ~28% in FL/AZ. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's hard to recall a candidate whose support was more concentrated among 50-64 year olds than Trump's has been all year. — PolitiTweet.org