Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Sat Sep 12 15:03:57 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now, the caveats: it's unlikely the partisan VBM gap will be quite that extreme, and it's possible the convenience of VBM could produce Dem votes that otherwise wouldn't have been cast. But this analysis also doesn't take into account mail ballots bound to arrive *too late.* — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Let's say there are each 2.5 million Biden/Trump voters in NC. 50% of Biden's voters vote by mail vs. 10% of Trump's. 4% of mail votes are initially rejected and only half of those voters successfully "cure." That's a 20k vote swing to Trump - roughly Obama's '08 margin in NC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden's biggest remaining challenge: social media giants are in way over their heads when it comes to vetting/stopping disinformation. A TV station would, in most cases, pull ads like these down. — PolitiTweet.org

The Trump campaign's ads and online videos are just so dishonest, way worse than your standard political spin. My… https://t.co/GBxplKn3AD

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated