Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Sat Sep 12 15:01:13 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Let's say there are each 2.5 million Biden/Trump voters in NC. 50% of Biden's voters vote by mail vs. 10% of Trump's. 4% of mail votes are initially rejected and only half of those voters successfully "cure." That's a 20k vote swing to Trump - roughly Obama's '08 margin in NC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, NC Dems are out-voting Reps 59%-12% by mail. But about 4% of mail ballots are being rejected for voter error and must be "cured" by the voter. That could be meaningful in a very close race. https://t.co/Jra4tGYwHq — PolitiTweet.org

NORTH CAROLINA RETURNED VOTES (9/11): 9/8: 80/112 (71%) ballots returned were accepted 9/9: 1287/1373 (94%) 9/10:… https://t.co/QJBVgt1RmM

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now, the caveats: it's unlikely the partisan VBM gap will be quite that extreme, and it's possible the convenience of VBM could produce Dem votes that otherwise wouldn't have been cast. But this analysis also doesn't take into account mail ballots bound to arrive *too late.* — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated