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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

You know which forecasters I *do* take seriously? People who spend more time researching & analyzing elections (and letting their work speak for itself) than engaging in relentless self-promotion & glorification in other people’s reply sections. — PolitiTweet.org

Published Aug. 21, 2019 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

More awesome journalists/analysts I didn’t have space to fit in the first tweet: @nathanlgonzales, @baseballot, @geoffreyvs, @ellawinthrop, @juruwolfe, @JMilesColeman. And so many more I’ll add to this list soon. — PolitiTweet.org

Published Aug. 20, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: @Redistrict Now did we mention that my middle name is David? — PolitiTweet.org

Published July 26, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What's left that does matter? Metros like Phoenix, Tucson, Miami, Orlando, Atlanta (maybe), Detroit, Omaha, Charlotte, Raleigh/Durham, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee, Madison. But in some of these, millennial growth has been lukewarm compared to the 12 above. — PolitiTweet.org

Published July 24, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Also, a cardinal rule of polling analysis: “informed ballots” (i.e. re-asking voters’ preferences after reading a series of statements are almost always BS. — PolitiTweet.org

Published July 22, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Still, this is going to be a tough district for Dems to flip in 2018. It’s not just wealthy Indy burbs, it’s also got pro-Trump factory towns. In terms of composition, it’s pretty much Indiana’s version of #OH12. — PolitiTweet.org

Published June 14, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New — PolitiTweet.org

Published May 15, 2019 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SteveKornacki: Buttigieg support by race in recent polling: NATIONAL Morning Consult (5/6) White: 8% Black: 1% Qpac (4/30) White 14%… — PolitiTweet.org

Published May 13, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The problem for Dems is: once you draw two AA-majority Detroit districts, there are four suburban Dem incumbents vying for the limited blue turf in the suburbs: #MI08 Slotkin, #MI09 Levin, #MI11 Stevens, #MI12 Dingell. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 28, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The problem for Dems is: once you draw two AA-majority Detroit districts, there are four suburban Dem incumbents vying for the limited blue turf in the suburbs: #MI08 Slotkin, #MI09 Levin, #MI11 Stevens, #MI12 Dingell. — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 28, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That today's NC Republicans are able to draw a more effective AND better-looking partisan gerrymanders than '90s NC Democrats isn't a testament to tech. Voters' self-sorting since '90s has made it *much* easier to draw lopsided districts. — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 27, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, the photo anchoring your tweet/article is literally of the *Dem* drawn NC gerrymander that was in effect from 1993-1998. — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 27, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, the photo anchoring your tweet/article is literally of the *Dem* drawn NC gerrymander that was in effect from 1993-1998. https://t.co/hJdkYnhMXS — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 27, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @elainaplott: MCCARTHY wins 159, Jim Jordan 43. — PolitiTweet.org

Published Nov. 14, 2018 Retweet Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BenjySarlin: This was sorta GOP’s problem in 2012. Had just elected a bunch of compelling Rs, but not in time to run for president. htt… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Oct. 16, 2018 Retweet Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JayCostTWS: NBD just a few weeks away from the midterms and close races in MT and IN haven't been polled in ages. But here's another RV… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Oct. 14, 2018 Retweet Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: if every state/district's result in November were an 8% uniform swing in Dems' favor from the '16 prez result, Dems would simultaneously gain 44 House seats (almost twice the +23 they need), but *lose* 4 Senate seats. https://t.co/ihdMAJ3Nrm — PolitiTweet.org

Published Aug. 20, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Best compliment we've ever received might be the quote in 4th paragraph. Was actually making breakfast tacos when I read it, and thought they came out pretty tasty. (btw, we still rate #TX32 a Toss Up). https://t.co/4utHXJ3WkK — PolitiTweet.org

Published Aug. 3, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The rise of the bubble is even more dramatic at the extremes: in 2016, 42% of Clinton's voters & 39% of Trump's lived in precincts where more than *two thirds* of their neighbors voted the same way. In 2012, just 38% of Obama voters & 32% of Romney voters did. — PolitiTweet.org

Published July 28, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My 9,400 rundown of the 42 open GOP House seats (including two rating changes) goes live at @CookPolitical in a few hours. I never imagined it would include the terms “orange juice adulterators” or “Bigfoot erotica,” but here we are. Because, hey, 2018. — PolitiTweet.org

Published July 27, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

After today’s #PA17 move, we don’t rate *any* PA races as Toss Ups. Dems currently favored to pick up at least 4 seats there under new map. https://t.co/rNj6HzWLfd — PolitiTweet.org

Published July 24, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

These tepid showings for Menendez in Hunterdon/Gloucester/Salem make you wonder what shape he'd be in if he were facing a credible primary opponent. #NJSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Published June 6, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: #OH12 special election (8/7) to fill GOP Rep. Pat Tiberi's vacant seat moves from Lean R to Toss Up. https://t.co/QasdL9L9j7 — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 27, 2018 Deleted Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: our latest House ratings feature 55 competitive races (50 held by Rs, 5 held by Ds). Dems need to win 27 of them for a majority: https://t.co/wcfAZ99f7I — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 6, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nonetheless, if SCOTUS does break new ground, this type of approach strikes me as a likelier outcome based on oral arguments than a math formula or something more drastic like mandatory indep. commissions (which might produce better maps & save courts future hassle). — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 4, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @sfpathe: Lots of #PA18 stories out there. But here's some stellar on-the-ground reporting from @bridgetbhc about the power of unions in… — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 8, 2018 Retweet Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, this isn't actually that dominant a primary performance from Beto O'Rourke. Obviously he'll win without a runoff, but he's at 55% right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 7, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Good question. And will Saccone start gathering signatures for new #PA14 - a district he doesn't live in? https://t.co/aW4NYTDljl — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 20, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hmm...these @CillizzaCNN House ratings look strangely familiar. https://t.co/DgjTcmg6Sx — PolitiTweet.org

Published Jan. 30, 2018 Deleted
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SeanTrende: @Redistrict @mcimaps I think the synthesis of the most recent cases is this: You don't have to draw influence or coalition… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Jan. 27, 2018 Retweet Deleted