Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just in: major escalation of the 2020 sign war as volunteers complete a *30 acre* design in Tama County, IA. https://t.co/2tr9n0fduU — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @grace_panetta: It’s like a game of whack-a-mole: right after Twitter took down that viral tweet, The Blaze puts out a tweet/article tha… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All of @Twitter's promises re: combating election-related disinformation kind of ring hollow if it allows flagrant falsehoods like this tweet to fester for 8+ hours and get 12k+ retweets. If you see it, report it. Thanks @grace_panetta. https://t.co/5NgA6TTKQt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is there any reason @Twitter shouldn't just take it down? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Best way to think about UT the last four years might be that its voters are experiencing a political homelessness epidemic. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Five days later, turns out this was the political equivalent of a new iPhone going on sale. Dems are so motivated to vote vs. Trump they overwhelmed initial bandwidth. Now, w/ kinks addressed, lines at all 9 Gwinnett early voting sites are under 15 mins. https://t.co/0IkEqZE6DM — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JonathanTamari: If this poll is accurate - and I am skeptical of leaked internal polling - but IF it’s accurate then Pennsylvania is lo… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The exceptions to the last sentence are the places where early votes make up an extraordinarily high % of the total expected vote (possibly Sumter, FL etc.). And even then, you have to account for the fact the small share of E-Day votes is likely to be hugely pro-Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Look, w/ possible exceptions @Nate_Cohn identifies like Ralston/NV, we're just not going to know anything until we see *actual vote totals* after poll closing. Even then, early votes alone won't tell us much in most places, and will surely lead wishful thinkers astray. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Huge difference between drawing inferences from early voting *actual results* vs. pre-election early turnout data. And even in the case of early results in Sumter/Pinellas etc., we'd only be able to draw meaningful conclusions under very specific conditions after 7pm on 11/3. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Be sure to follow my @NBCNews colleague @lizbrownkaiser as key state legislative/redistricting fights heat up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @lizbrownkaiser: 🚨Down-ballot races matter, especially ahead of redistricting!🚨 These elections could shape the nation's political battl… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JacobRubashkin: Hmmm... Jaime Harrison has a new ad airing in Charleston today. "But beware, right-wing Constitution Party candidate… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JMilesColeman: .@Redistrict was talking about the pro-Dem trends in Fairfax County, VA over the past 20 years. Bill Clinton would have… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is actually exhibit A of why you *shouldn’t* attempt to predict elections based on early vote data alone. Your “analysis” said Iowa and #ME02 leaned Clinton...she lost them by 9%+. Wouldn’t pick this fight if I were you. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It might have always been close, but the number of living journalists who would now be universally trusted across the spectrum as presidential debate moderators might really be zero. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nice report from one of the ten bellwethers by @bluestein in the @ajc. https://t.co/ZbfUSvNF7k — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ForecasterEnten: Early vote trends are not going to tell us who is going to win. (Maybe Ralston exception.) If you are tempted to use e… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ChazNuttycombe @vpapupdates @notlarrysabato Yeah, the CAPs are going to be such an overwhelming majority of the vote this year in many places, it’ll be tough to reliably assign totals back to precincts — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ChazNuttycombe I actually do think Trump will win a few Fairfax precincts like Clifton just because early voting will cannibalize so much of Dems’ Election Day vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not out of the question some large TX counties like Harris could exceed their *total* 2016 votes cast before Election Day. Just massive. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: Fairfax County, VA voted Republican for president as recently as 2000. I would be shocked if Donald Trump lost it by *less* than 40 points this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: “Because we can't start counting until 7 a.m. on Election Day, and we expect to have between 150,000 and 200,000 (absentee)… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

When Sen. George Allen (R) called his opponent's tracker "Macaca" in 2006, Virginia was still considered a Lean R state... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @HotlineJosh: Republicans now spending sizable money to save Mark Meadows’ old House seat https://t.co/IgHGr0dfyk — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the past quarter, 35 Dem candidates out-raised Rs in GOP-held House seats, while just 15 GOP candidates out-raised Ds in Dem-held seats (tbh, I thought disparity would be even larger). A terrific resource to track $$ -> — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Before you laugh at Dem donors for giving Amy McGrath $36.9 million this quarter, here's a live look at GOP donors giving hopeless R challengers to Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ilhan Omar, Kweisi Mfume and Adam Schiff a combined $20 million. #fundraging https://t.co/WKgSUs5qRR — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Exactly. If Biden were to flip PA, MI and #NE02 but nothing else (269-269), that's not a political enviro in which Dems are winning new delegation majorities in AK/MT/FL/MI etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The current delegation count stands at 26R, 22D and 2 ties (PA & MI, which is technically 7D-6R-1L). Dems do have a genuine opportunity in PA, where we see R-held #PA10 as a Toss Up. In MI, Ds have a shot at 8D-6R. But Rs could also earn a tie in MN if they pick up #MN07. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The battle for a majority of House delegations in the event of a 269-269 tie is, in my opinion, one of the most overrated parlor convos this year. Nonetheless, there are a few states where Ds are *close* to flipping delegations, but still real underdogs: FL, MT, AK, NC. — PolitiTweet.org