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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Huge difference between drawing inferences from early voting *actual results* vs. pre-election early turnout data. And even in the case of early results in Sumter/Pinellas etc., we'd only be able to draw meaningful conclusions under very specific conditions after 7pm on 11/3. — PolitiTweet.org

@Redistrict *genuinely asking* Then how do we deal with your prediction re: The Villages early voting data?

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Be sure to follow my @NBCNews colleague @lizbrownkaiser as key state legislative/redistricting fights heat up. — PolitiTweet.org

🚨Down-ballot races matter, especially ahead of redistricting!🚨 These elections could shape the nation's political b… https://t.co/oBv6mqoBUo

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Look, w/ possible exceptions @Nate_Cohn identifies like Ralston/NV, we're just not going to know anything until we see *actual vote totals* after poll closing. Even then, early votes alone won't tell us much in most places, and will surely lead wishful thinkers astray. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated