Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: 🚨New SENATE RATINGS changes @CookPolitical 🚨 #AKSen: Likely R —> Lean R #TXSen: Likely R —> Lean R #GASen special: Lea… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For example: it’s possible that Trump will be “ahead” in VA count for much of the evening of 11/3, even though he has no realistic chance to win it. Biden’s entire VA margin could come from 500k absentee ballots in Fairfax/Arlington/Richmond etc. that get reported late. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It is absolutely imperative that every news outlet prepare viewers for the reality that unprecedented partisan polarization of early/EDay votes makes lopsided batches of results *expected,* not suspicious, on 11/3. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The intensity of Dem enthusiasm for early voting is off the charts - and we’re going to see it all over. At this rate, who will be left to vote on Election Day? Trump voters, pretty much. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: per @GaSecofState, 126,876 people voted early in person in GA today, a 41% increase over the first day in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

immediately dive into 2021 redistricting — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@clairecmc Everyone waiting in line in this video also has the option of voting by mail (via either USPS or dropbox), early voting on another day when lines are expected to be much shorter, or voting on Election Day at their regular polling place. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@mayatcontreras Everyone waiting in line in this video also has the option of voting by mail (via either USPS or dropbox), early voting on another day when lines are expected to be much shorter, or voting on Election Day at their regular polling place. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Let's see what the lines are like once we move into next few days & election administrators work out kinks. Also remember: there's sky-high D interest in early voting, while Trump-directed Rs are waiting til Election Day - and potentially headed for massive 11/3 pileups. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

100%, and with no social distancing — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @RonBrownstein: Lots of glitches elsewhere in the state (and even some there), but strongly positive early reviews on using Atlanta's ba… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: Heads up.....we have 3 Senate ratings changes coming tomorrow morning at @CookPolitical along with an overview of where… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ErinBanco: NEW: I spoke to Fauci about the Trump campaign: "By doing this against my will, they are in effect harassing me. Since camp… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Facts: 1) Gwinnett Co., GA has *nine* advance voting centers open 9-12 hours a day, including weekends, between 10/12 and 10/30 2) This is the first day of in-person voting in the highest-enthusiasm election in GA history Let's give it a few days before jumping to conclusions. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaHuseman: Long lines in the first two hours of early voting are not actually indicative of a problem or too few polling locations… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other words: on 11/3, it could be Trump voters disproportionately forced to wait in huge lines to vote, whereas most Biden votes are already banked. It's just tough to quantify what impact this has, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The flip side to the enormous frontloading of Biden's vote (both mail and early in-person) is that *Election Day lines* could be relatively shorter in heavily Dem precincts. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Apologies to anyone thrown off but Periscope somehow made my voice about 10 octaves deeper than it really is ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’m discussing my @nytopinion op-ed about the 10 bellwether counties that show how Trump is in deep trouble https://t.co/v02NrzcHNg https://t.co/zypPXveuVm — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ll be live here in 10 minutes (1:30PM ET) discussing my @nytopinion op-ed about the 10 bellwether counties that show Trump is in trouble (bonus points if you tune in from one of the counties) https://t.co/v02NrzcHNg — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: Great work here BTW showing that Biden is winning largely on the basis of persuasion rather than turnout. Flipping even… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Joe Biden leads in Wisconsin and Michigan by a significant margin, according to new Times/Siena polls. Biden leads Trump by… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With few exceptions, anything touching Gwinnett Co., GA might be cursed for Rs this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Enjoyed nerding out about the latest polling/trends in key battlegrounds on @TheRecount. Catch the episode here: https://t.co/gFiAmN0gdZ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@NilesGApol Thank god I stick to the data and avoid punditry — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@hahnalytics There were actually 7,700 Black registrants in Peach County, GA in 2018, up from 6,500 in 2008. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's undeniably a factor, but probably explains a minority of the decline. Take turnout of Black registered voters in Peach County, GA (per state's file), and the county-wide result: 2008: 77%, Obama +6.7% 2012: 73%, Obama +7.5% 2016: 54%, Trump +2.9% 2018: 50%, Kemp +4.5% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another area of a "reach" state for Biden that fits this description: southern Georgia, where rural Black turnout plummeted between '12 and '16 and didn't quite recover in '18, even w/ Abrams running. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Although I'd be surprised to see Biden/Harris divert their schedules from AZ/FL/MI/NC/PA/WI in the closing weeks, I wouldn't be surprised if they dispatched Obama to the Rio Grande Valley - a traditionally Dem zone where Beto/Biden have struggled to match Obama's appeal. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But the real question: do Biden/Harris hit the RGV before 11/3? — PolitiTweet.org