Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 23, 2021

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Sun Oct 11 22:32:34 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another area of a "reach" state for Biden that fits this description: southern Georgia, where rural Black turnout plummeted between '12 and '16 and didn't quite recover in '18, even w/ Abrams running. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Although I'd be surprised to see Biden/Harris divert their schedules from AZ/FL/MI/NC/PA/WI in the closing weeks, I wouldn't be surprised if they dispatched Obama to the Rio Grande Valley - a traditionally Dem zone where Beto/Biden have struggled to match Obama's appeal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's undeniably a factor, but probably explains a minority of the decline. Take turnout of Black registered voters in Peach County, GA (per state's file), and the county-wide result: 2008: 77%, Obama +6.7% 2012: 73%, Obama +7.5% 2016: 54%, Trump +2.9% 2018: 50%, Kemp +4.5% — PolitiTweet.org

@Redistrict fwiw i think pop decline is a big factor

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated