Deleted tweet detection is currently running at reduced
capacity due to changes to the Twitter API. Some tweets that have been
deleted by the tweet author may not be labeled as deleted in the PolitiTweet
interface.
Showing page 36 of 300.
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
It's important that people understand the stakes of the fall elections. They are not about inflation, infrastructure or climate policy, as important as those are. We could be putting into power a bunch of people who will not acknowledge election results unless their party wins. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
That said, democracy is an electoral issue this cycle. There is no way around that. Charlie Crist is a normal politician. Ron DeSantis creates complicated procedures that make it harder for some Black people to vote and arrests them if they mess up. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
In an ideal world, the speech feels less "electoral." He gave it as election season is heating up and included a laundry list of his accomplishments like he was stumping for a Dem Senate candidate. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
All presidential speeches are "political." A speech about democracy in 2022 must be "partisan," because Republican officials are the ones are taking anti-democratic actions, like Jan 6. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
It was notable that Biden did not repeat the f-word (fascist, fascism.) He also suggested that the majority of Republicans are not aligned with MAGA, which contradicts most polling. Both of these moves make sense in trying to bring more ex/current Republicans into the fold. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
His description of the problem (Trumpism) wasn't that new or revelatory. What was striking was a president saying all that, particularly this president, who had suggested during his campaign that Trumpism might go away if Trump lost in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
Biden did something super-important tonight in stating clearly, in a high-profile setting, that Donald Trump and the people aligned with him are regularly taking anti-democratic actions and are right now a threat to America as we know it. https://t.co/1FaaD57tfB https://t.co/AlPPpabjv7 — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
@steve_vladeck I tried. Maybe 900 words is not enough. https://t.co/3cGpQM572w — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @Mlsif: “My question is whether this speech was a politically savvy move”—literally the first words out of Asma Khaled of NPR’s team com… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @whstancil: Emily Oster was subjected to vicious criticism because she used meaningless data to argue that schools were magical non-tran… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @biblioracle: The freakout about the decline in NEAP scores has been predictable and frustrating and it's probably impossible to have a… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @david_dayen: Maybe it would be smart to hype the healthcare provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act if they would actually be felt by… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @JNelsonLDF: Excellent analysis by @perrybaconjr about why pandering through poor policy on policing is a fail. https://t.co/L7Egqzyb… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @chadstanton: Chicago, Detroit, Atlanta, Houston, Birmingham, Memphis, New Orleans, Baltimore, Louisville, Los Angeles, Oakland, Indiana… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @david_dayen: So @owenslindsay1 and I explain what's really behind the centrist economist freakout over student debt cancellation: we tr… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @ggreeneva: Old enough to remember when the wisest guys in punditry complained and complained that progressives’ ‘obsession’ with threat… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @avitale: My take on Biden's crime plan: https://t.co/0IT1Gdfc2F https://t.co/s0F2ovk4TT — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @_Eric_Reinhart: Glad to see @perrybaconjr push back against Biden’s police-centric policy push. It’s a betrayal of the promises Biden… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @theGrio: OPINION: While most of the common objections to student debt relief don’t hold up when facts and logic are applied, there is o… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @mjs_DC: The next time someone tells you DeSantis is better than Trump because he poses no threat to democracy, remind them that DeSanti… — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
RT @Econ_Marshall: Thread! — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
And it's really hard to poll that. For example, it's very likely that the cohort of people who voted on the Kansas abortion question earlier this month is more pro-Biden than the state's full 2020 electorate. Many Trump voters stayed home, helping the pro-abortion rights side. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
Obviously some people have turned 18 since 2020, some have died, some will vote in 2022 who didn't in 2020 even though they could have. But the core question, along with how many voters swing to the other party, is which party has the biggest drop-off from presidential voting. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
About 110 million voted in 2018, 160 million in 2020. Would expect closer to the 2018 number in November. That makes one of the core challenges of polling this cycle (and every midterm on some level) figuring out which 120 million or so vote, and which 40 million don't. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
@HeerJeet I have not done a full analysis of every 2018 result, but not sure this is a Trump issue. Walker and DeSantis also did better than polls showed. https://t.co/Fp3WvTOcob and https://t.co/fqz8OzFAtA — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
My broader point is that A. We can trust the general trends--The electoral environment is much much better for Dems than in early July B. Don't think we can trust the absolute numbers much. The polls may be overstating Dem chances of winning, particularly in swing states. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
Be careful about polling in Wisconsin too. Trump ran 6 points ahead of the polling there in 2016 and 2020. https://t.co/qgDPEsWbCb — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
Biden was in Ohio the day before election day. His internal numbers must also have suggested the state was winnable. — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
Tim Ryan might win in Ohio. We will see on Election Day. No need to predict. But at least in 2020, polling there was way too skewed towards Dems, worse than I think any other state. The polling average had Trump ahead by 1, he won by 8. https://t.co/mUeNMFL2q9 — PolitiTweet.org
Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr
"You know what I mean," Biden responded on Friday when asked about his semi-fascism remark. I don't fault the reporters for asking. But when DeSantis is bragging about arresting people who were confused about whether they were eligible to vote, we all do know what Biden means. — PolitiTweet.org
