Perry Bacon Jr.

@perrybaconjr ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2022

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Mon Aug 29 17:30:38 +0000 2022

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

Be careful about polling in Wisconsin too. Trump ran 6 points ahead of the polling there in 2016 and 2020. https://t.co/qgDPEsWbCb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2022

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

Biden was in Ohio the day before election day. His internal numbers must also have suggested the state was winnable. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2022

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

My broader point is that A. We can trust the general trends--The electoral environment is much much better for Dems than in early July B. Don't think we can trust the absolute numbers much. The polls may be overstating Dem chances of winning, particularly in swing states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2022