Perry Bacon Jr.

@perrybaconjr ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2022

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Mon Aug 29 18:05:05 +0000 2022

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

About 110 million voted in 2018, 160 million in 2020. Would expect closer to the 2018 number in November. That makes one of the core challenges of polling this cycle (and every midterm on some level) figuring out which 120 million or so vote, and which 40 million don't. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2022

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

@HeerJeet I have not done a full analysis of every 2018 result, but not sure this is a Trump issue. Walker and DeSantis also did better than polls showed. https://t.co/Fp3WvTOcob and https://t.co/fqz8OzFAtA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2022

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

Obviously some people have turned 18 since 2020, some have died, some will vote in 2022 who didn't in 2020 even though they could have. But the core question, along with how many voters swing to the other party, is which party has the biggest drop-off from presidential voting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2022