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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
RT @ddayen: NEW from me: The reconciliation bill includes up to $400 billion for home health care and $225 billion for child care. Private… — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
Kevin McCarthy with a carefully-worded answer when asked if he'd support a long-term or permanent military presence in Afghanistan: "We need to have eyes and ears in that region if we want to be safe." Says he wouldn't have closed Bagram. — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
McCarthy on Afghan refugees coming to the US: "There was not screening when they were moving people out." He doesn't say if they should be allowed to resettle here post-vetting. — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
.@GOPLeader doesn't quite say if he'd support raising refugee limits to allow Afghan allies to resettle in US: "They took more than 120,000... We should look through and screen before people come to America. We've got to know what's in there." Question by @LACaldwellDC. — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
RT @LawAmericanX: We are dealing with a Darwinian natural-selection level of stupidity here. https://t.co/WNREIZLvmS — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
RT @daveweigel: Youngkin's ads have built up his image - net favorables are slightly higher than McAuliffe's - but the hot button issues of… — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
Virginia governor poll: Monmouth McAuliffe 47% Youngkin 42% https://t.co/P2aeE4J3Nd — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
“But if the only aspect of this catastrophe that our leaders remember is what went wrong in August 2021, then we’ll have learned nothing except to always double down on failure, and the next disaster will be worse,” argues @DouthatNYT. https://t.co/gglOH8ThCY — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
The big lie about 2020 is alive >> Rep. Madison Cawthorn promotes false election claims, warns of 'bloodshed' if fraud occurs in future https://t.co/c2gPV1BwSw — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
RT @RepRiggleman: October 7th…I remember the mission planning, the mission brief and the debrief. I remember the BONEs lighting up the runw… — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
AP lede https://t.co/mtlu05R042 https://t.co/C0BU7NlvAb — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
RT @meridithmcgraw: Trump Iowa rally in the works: https://t.co/BeHAhpI4Sf — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
“[Christianné] Allen says she has been replaced by Todd Shapiro, a former spokesperson for Lindsay Lohan’s family who also claims to have represented Trump properties, Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY), and Hooters of Long Island and New Jersey.” — PolitiTweet.org
Maggie Haberman @maggieNYT
The Giuliani comms director who pronounced her name similar to “Giuliani” has resigned. https://t.co/wLx5w5Abzj
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
“Now, our 20-year military presence in Afghanistan has ended.” President Biden’s statement: https://t.co/Jvxkgq2Jar — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
The U.S. cost of the war in Afghanistan: $2.313 trillion. via Brown University: https://t.co/88oCK9QgLi https://t.co/iBy7qXT3Fm — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
Gen. McKenzie: "Every single US servicemember is now out of Afghanistan. I can say that with 100% certainty." — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
August 30, 2021. https://t.co/H83ydbv2Cq front page. https://t.co/z1qHP7IUJI — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
New York Times front page; October 8, 2001. The beginning of America's war in Afghanistan. BUSH WARNS 'TALIBAN WILL PAY A PRICE' https://t.co/phYJC1xAu0 — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
Gen. McKenzie says the "military component" of the US evacuation mission in Afghanistan is over but that diplomatic efforts to get people out will continue. He thanks coalition partners who stood with America on the ground in final stretch, particularly the Norwegians. — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
NEWS: The US war in Afghanistan is over. "I'm here to announce the completion of our withdrawal from Afghanistan," says Gen. Kenneth McKenzie, commander of US Central Command. "...the end of the nearly 20-year mission that began in Afghanistan shortly after September 11, 2001." https://t.co/fSxJptsbut — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
“All these people are playing the blame game right now…because they want to distract us from the fact that we spent 20 years, $2.3 trillion dollars and 2,500 US servicemember lives over there for absolutely nothing.” Marine vet @LucasKunceMO to @SRuhle. https://t.co/vEEJzxObBy — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
Biden is unshakably determined to smash DC’s post-9/11 foreign policy consensus that the US can/should use military force to export democracy. (A consensus he once helped build, wittingly or not, when he voted to invade Afghanistan and Iraq.) — PolitiTweet.org
Washington Week | PBS @washingtonweek
“We are seeing a Biden doctrine come into focus on foreign policy,” @sahilkapur tells @yamiche. This includes "us… https://t.co/oPfRnyQuGL
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
RT @washingtonweek: “We are seeing a Biden doctrine come into focus on foreign policy,” @sahilkapur tells @yamiche. This includes "using… — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
2016 was different. National polls then were remarkably close—RCP average was just 1.1 pts off the final—but numerous state polls were way off. One big reason was the failure to weight by education at a time of spiking college vs. non-col disparities. https://t.co/0CJsetAjYn — PolitiTweet.org
Leon Square @Ease_Private
@sahilkapur Do those same theories apply to the 2016 miss?
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
So the skepticism of polling is warranted, but the caveats to 2020 are notable: 2021-'22 cycle is a different context. The lockdowns are no more and a key wildcard named Trump is not on the ballot. Last time both those were true—2018—polls were accurate. https://t.co/2FDBLkiCj5 — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
Pollsters have theories for big '20 miss. Did D responses soar during WFH? Did Trump's attacks on polls make his voters ignore 'em? Was there a "hidden" DJT vote of ppl who wouldn't admit? All of the above? Problem is it's hard to isolate variables in rare Covid lockdown context. — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
A very fair question! No doubt 2020 polling was sharply skewed toward Dems and pollsters don't have great explanations why. But was it a unique moment or new normal? 2018 polling was pretty accurate; in fact it *understated* Dem support a bit per RCP avg https://t.co/nGZDXxzLoB — PolitiTweet.org
Mark Hemingway @Heminator
Again, I ask -- does anyone remember the fiasco in November? Polling has a sytemic problem in overstating support f… https://t.co/blZ0BLJprZ
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
@jordanzakarin FWIW, I wrote this 11 days ago. Politics of Afghanistan withdrawal are complex. Beware all predictions. https://t.co/JzwzDihyhx — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
A strange thing is happening in the new ABC poll. As Biden takes a political beating on Afghanistan, his approval has risen on the economy, immigration, guns and crime (but still underwater in some) — issues likely to matter more to voters a year from now. https://t.co/el2yfBTnOp — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
ABC News/Ipsos poll (Aug. 27-28) Biden approval/disapproval ratings on... Covid-19 response: 64/35 Infrastructure: 62/35 Economic recovery: 55/41 Immigration: 41/56 Gun violence: 44/52 Crime: 46/50 Afghanistan withdrawal: 38/59 — PolitiTweet.org
