Sahil Kapur

@sahilkapur ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked July 17, 2022

Created

Mon Aug 30 18:24:51 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

2016 was different. National polls then were remarkably close—RCP average was just 1.1 pts off the final—but numerous state polls were way off. One big reason was the failure to weight by education at a time of spiking college vs. non-col disparities. https://t.co/0CJsetAjYn — PolitiTweet.org

@sahilkapur Do those same theories apply to the 2016 miss?

Posted Aug. 30, 2021 Hibernated

Preceded By

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

So the skepticism of polling is warranted, but the caveats to 2020 are notable: 2021-'22 cycle is a different context. The lockdowns are no more and a key wildcard named Trump is not on the ballot. Last time both those were true—2018—polls were accurate. https://t.co/2FDBLkiCj5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2021 Hibernated

Followed By

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @washingtonweek: “We are seeing a Biden doctrine come into focus on foreign policy,” @sahilkapur tells @yamiche. This includes "using… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2021 Retweet Hibernated