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Sahil Kapur

@sahilkapur ↗

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Last Checked July 17, 2022

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Mon Aug 30 17:59:19 +0000 2021

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

A very fair question! No doubt 2020 polling was sharply skewed toward Dems and pollsters don't have great explanations why. But was it a unique moment or new normal? 2018 polling was pretty accurate; in fact it *understated* Dem support a bit per RCP avg https://t.co/nGZDXxzLoB — PolitiTweet.org

Mark Hemingway @Heminator

Again, I ask -- does anyone remember the fiasco in November? Polling has a sytemic problem in overstating support f… https://t.co/blZ0BLJprZ

Posted Aug. 30, 2021 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@jordanzakarin FWIW, I wrote this 11 days ago. Politics of Afghanistan withdrawal are complex. Beware all predictions. https://t.co/JzwzDihyhx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2021 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Pollsters have theories for big '20 miss. Did D responses soar during WFH? Did Trump's attacks on polls make his voters ignore 'em? Was there a "hidden" DJT vote of ppl who wouldn't admit? All of the above? Problem is it's hard to isolate variables in rare Covid lockdown context. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2021 Hibernated