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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@berkey11 Poker journalism serves different purposes for different audiences. One is simply to report on tournament results. If they write "Ali ACCUSED CHEATER Imsirovic defends the BB then checks the K66 flop" would be IMO poor reporting unless the accusations are germane to that hand. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
A lot of the reason people tune out coverage of new COVID variants (e.g. BA.5) is that they grok there's no real endgame: with a new variant every few months, you're either willing to make ~permanent lifestyle changes or you're not and most people are not. https://t.co/eyst3sWW7B https://t.co/Q0NGSyC4qU — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Yeah, I've poked fun of Newsom's messaging and what he offers as an alternative, but the fact that a "mainstream" Democrat as prominent as the governor of California is already basically running for the 2024 nomination is a very bad sign for Biden. https://t.co/KXiBKKHOAt — PolitiTweet.org
Conor Sen @conorsen
@NateSilver538 Gavin Newsom’s going to start putting that ad up in Iowa.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
At some point criticism of Biden from potential Democratic alternatives in 2024 could become self-reinforcing, i.e. the more Dems criticize Biden, the worse his numbers get, the more vulnerable he looks, and the more Democrats jump into the 2024 fray, rinse, repeat, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@smotus Dear Sir, I represent the Bloody Mary and I must ask you to cease and desist usage of the term "hard gazpacho" or any similar term. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@MattZeitlin All Times subscribers live in apartments. The grill recepies are for their summer homes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ABCPolitics: “On the whole, the odds still favor Republicans. But I buy that Roe being overturned evens the equation a bit toward Democ… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I'm not just coming to this now. For better or worse, I've been a trending topic / Twitter "character of the day" (not an enjoyable thing) on a number of occasions for critiquing school closures and other COVID responses that relied on severely reducing in-person social activity. — PolitiTweet.org
𝗦𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝗠𝗲 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮 @txsalth2o
@NateSilver538 So why have you been quiet on the impacts of school closures for the past 2 years? We could have used your voice.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Closing the beach? Actually, that's just protecting your FREEDOM to not catch COVID! https://t.co/mRT0JVgvcY — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It's particularly weird coming from California Democrats who are the most paternalistic wing of the party. (Maybe Jared Polis could get away with this?) I think they hired consultants who are were like "people like FREEDOM so just say everything is FREEDOM!" — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This is the same messaging used in Gavin Newsom's recent ads and I find it...really weird? Even a not-particularly-well-informed voter can surely think of plenty of examples where both Democrats and Republicans advocate to impose limits on freedom. — PolitiTweet.org
Rep. Eric Swalwell @RepSwalwell
What’s the Democrats’ message? I hear this all the time. Simple. We are the party of freedom. Freedom to make y… https://t.co/0On03OrvyX
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias I mean, there's a lot to unpack: partisanship; media coverage that did not explain differences in COVID severity by age; the elevation of a certain type of hawkish COVID pundit over others. Also some polling issues (i.e. differences between stated vs. revealed preferences). — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Really? This was one of the most predictable policy mistakes of all time. — PolitiTweet.org
The Economist @TheEconomist
New data suggest that the damage from shutting down schools has been worse than almost anyone expected https://t.co/NFwisYrDsg
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's an inverse correlation between who think they "trust the science" and the people who actually trust the science on nuclear power. https://t.co/dk0vm2BQBP https://t.co/NzPPw4DYIh — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
At least looking at the generic ballot, there probably has been a shift toward Democrats post-Dobbs. https://t.co/8QQaMogFP8 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Maybe you help Collins, but she's not running again until 2026. Murkowski is up this year, but not at much threat of losing to a Democrat in Alaska's new ranked-choice system. Apart from them, even Republicans who moderate on some issues tend not to moderate on abortion. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This is poorly-considered strategy from "prominent Democratic leaders". There are very few moderate Republicans, so if you force Republicans to take a vote on popular abortion provisions, there are more Republicans you hurt electorally than help. https://t.co/QXDcgQCwnl https://t.co/FDDCWb8s57 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@RossBarkan Nadler has signs encouraging people to return from their vacation homes to make sure they vote in the primary, which tells you a lot of what you need to know about the district. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
For better or worse, this is the only study in the past 15 years to survive the replication crisis. https://t.co/MqykeQeiIt — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @janecoaston: Wait he's actually the Secretary of Defense? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SopanDeb Uhhh, looks like they've got just the guy. https://t.co/44OOJkJiS0 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias It's coming to the US in 2032 under President Mayor Pete. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
But a question for @AceDblDwn: Given that Newsom endorsed Harris in 2020, will he commit to not running in 2024 if Harris also does? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
He's certainly a plausible enough nominee in the sense that the governor of the country's largest state is always plausible, but if Gavin Newsom is the answer I'm not sure what the question is really. And why him instead of an ex-Senator from Cali who is now the *vice president*? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
LOL I missed this but it's hilarious that Newsom strategists are taking issue with a comparison to the Dems' 2016 nominee. And it's an apt comparison: they're both conventional but well-qualified establishment liberals with personal baggage who've never won in a purple state. — PolitiTweet.org
Christopher Cadelago @ccadelago
Newsom strategist takes issue w/ a Nate Silver take on his electoral appeal https://t.co/qdzYWxeSzG
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Yeah, this is straight-up misinformation from Pelosi. We have Democrats as heavy underdogs in Florida and Ohio. — PolitiTweet.org
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
Here in the real world Silver gives Demings a 1-in-17 chance of beating Rubio, but sure, why not? https://t.co/1MOnziyuME
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@dr_ilardi Is this about a certain player who's name rhymes with Gudy Robert? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen I think Whitmer is underrated in this conversation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Jason IDK, I guess the theory is he's a "generic Democrat" who will win the elections Democrats are supposed to win, but a party wouldn't be expected to win too many elections in a recession. Also think he could underperform a generic Democrat based on personal & California baggage. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Gavin Newsom's appeal is basically to Hillary Clinton Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org
