Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Thu Jul 07 18:33:10 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe you help Collins, but she's not running again until 2026. Murkowski is up this year, but not at much threat of losing to a Democrat in Alaska's new ranked-choice system. Apart from them, even Republicans who moderate on some issues tend not to moderate on abortion. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is poorly-considered strategy from "prominent Democratic leaders". There are very few moderate Republicans, so if you force Republicans to take a vote on popular abortion provisions, there are more Republicans you hurt electorally than help. https://t.co/QXDcgQCwnl https://t.co/FDDCWb8s57 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At least looking at the generic ballot, there probably has been a shift toward Democrats post-Dobbs. https://t.co/8QQaMogFP8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 8, 2022