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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @WesleyLowery: More than 2 years ago, a @washingtonpost team embarked on an ambitious reporting project: to map American homicide impuni… — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 15, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @micahcohen: [email protected] on the 2020 endorsements board: https://t.co/98RzU5JvvV https://t.co/l0B6IigFWa — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 15, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @TerrenceDoyle: @Neil_Paine and I get into Tampa's historic regular season dominance, which won't mean a thing if they don't end up lift… — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 10, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @micahcohen: 🤓 https://t.co/SfYFHfWSZz https://t.co/EfNR3jLf2j — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 4, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Except he was polling at 1% even *before* fucking up the Kavanaugh conformation for Democrats and being charged with like 6 zillion crimes. https://t.co/zIbCrSCWrF — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 25, 2019 Deleted Just a Typo
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ktbenner: here’s the 4-page letter DoJ sent to the Judiciary Committee leaders with topline findings from the #mueller report https://t… — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 24, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ktbenner: #mueller is not recommending any further indictments — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 22, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten BeTtInG mArKeTs AgGrEgAtE iNfOrMaTiOn FrOm ThoSaNdS oF wEiRdOs aCcRoSs EuRoPe WhO bEt SmAlL aMoUnTs Of MoNeY oN tHe LiNe. HaRd To SeE hOw YoU bEaT tHe WiSdOm Of CrOwDs. — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 18, 2019 Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd note that this data comes from polls in July-December in the year before the election, i.e. 2-7 months before Iowa. It's even earlier now—11 months before—so the polls are even noisier. If Biden were to hold at ~30% through late this year, that would be a bit more formidable. — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 11, 2019 Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @TerrenceDoyle: here's @Neil_Paine and i trying to figure out why the @NHL is fun again (although he admitted he misses the dead puck er… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 6, 2019 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @robertwiblin: Betting markets have a clear message on Brexit: we've got no bloody idea what's going to happen. (@tylercowen) https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Dec. 7, 2018 Retweet Deleted
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm bidding $1 in the hopes that both you and Elon Musk go over. — PolitiTweet.org

Published Aug. 7, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Patrick_J_Egan: Often lost in our focus on Trump's behavior is how steep a price he's paying for it in terms of public approval. Typica… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Aug. 6, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @perrybaconjr: A Trump-wing in governors' mansion? The president got really involved in the GOP gubernatorial primary in Georgia--and he… — PolitiTweet.org

Published July 25, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically our CARMELO projections lean really heavily on scouting rankings and mostly mimic those. It's strongest opinions are probably on Bagley, which it likes, and Bamba, which it doesn't like, in part because of their ages. Bagley is almost a year younger than Bamba. — PolitiTweet.org

Published June 20, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @MC_of_A: Uruguay have an attack made up of two great strikers and... not a lot else. Will it work against a weak group? And do Mo Salah… — PolitiTweet.org

Published June 7, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump's problems have (IMO) become considerably more severe over the past 6 months. And yet, his approval rating hasn't worsened (it's actually improved by a point or two). The degree of Congressional resistance hasn't meaningly increased. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Published April 15, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @kevinroose: Reminder that big tech companies fear employee recruiting/retention problems way more than falling stock prices. You'll kn… — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 27, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In theory, ranked-choice voting should favor "safe" movies that everyone thinks is pretty good (e.g. Shape of Water?) relative to more groundbreaking but polarizing choices (e.g. Get Out?). Not clear that's how things have played out in practice, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 5, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Seinfeld2000: @olivegarden what the fuck https://t.co/k8gWP5hWT9 — PolitiTweet.org

Published March 3, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

https://t.co/HxlrxrABmz — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 28, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Trump campaign's Electoral College strategy was quite optimal, though. Much better than Clinton's strategy and basically what the 538 model would have recommended. Not sure if's Conway or Parscale who deserves credit. But their campaign deserves credit, overall. https://t.co/zzS5UzJ6zO — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 28, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But important to remember that generic ballot polls are, at this early stage, mostly of registered voters rather than likely voters. Not crazy to think the Dem advantage could grow once pollsters witch over to likely voter models in the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 28, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump's gonna get re-elected because of the all the new manufacturing jobs as curling rinks are hastily constructed in every Midwestern town >5,000 people. — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 24, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @roseveleth: 🚨 🚨 MY RESULTS ARE IN 🚨 🚨 https://t.co/onUJYkgKFF — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 21, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In this case, Trump's numbers *have* improved, so it makes sense that Dems are doing worse on the generic ballot than in December. Nonetheless, polls showing them only like 4-5 points a couple weeks ago may have overshot the mark a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Published Feb. 9, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @smotus: New rules for reporting statistical significance: p ≤ .05 = significant p ≤ .01 = significant AF p ≤ .001 = I didn’t control fo… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Jan. 29, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattdpearce: Looks like Tronc is launching a contributor network, according to this presentation our publisher gave today. "Over time,… — PolitiTweet.org

Published Jan. 18, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @evanmcmurry: With a triumphant gavel bang, @SpeakerRyan presides over passage of House GOP tax bill. https://t.co/Kg1uTDLc6h — PolitiTweet.org

Published Dec. 19, 2017 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our algorithm has no real idea who will be the last team in the playoff, but it would go with Ohio State if you threatened to unplug it. ttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2017-college-football-predictions/ — PolitiTweet.org

Published Dec. 3, 2017 Deleted Hibernated