Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 3, 2021

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Fri Jul 30 20:34:39 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattyglesias: 9/10 base rate fallacies are committed by right-handed people. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021 Retweet Deleted

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki I think what happened is the CDC thought it would be pressed for "new" evidence to explain why the policy had changed so it wound up overemphasizing this rather tenuous data, but things got much worse by the NYT and panicky people on Twitter grossly exaggerating its significance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Thread. One point I'd highlight is, it's HIGHLY dubious for the CDC to assume that 50% of COVID infections are currently being detected given how little testing we're doing (I've seen e.g. @ScottGottliebMD suggest <=10%) so that makes it hard to trust their model on other points. — PolitiTweet.org

Let’s discuss the leaked slides out of the CDC. There is a lot of misinformation circulating, and I would like to c… https://t.co/YvvccGLunG

Posted July 30, 2021