Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 12, 2022

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Mon Jul 11 15:50:11 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, I've poked fun of Newsom's messaging and what he offers as an alternative, but the fact that a "mainstream" Democrat as prominent as the governor of California is already basically running for the 2024 nomination is a very bad sign for Biden. https://t.co/KXiBKKHOAt — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Gavin Newsom’s going to start putting that ad up in Iowa.

Posted July 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At some point criticism of Biden from potential Democratic alternatives in 2024 could become self-reinforcing, i.e. the more Dems criticize Biden, the worse his numbers get, the more vulnerable he looks, and the more Democrats jump into the 2024 fray, rinse, repeat, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of the reason people tune out coverage of new COVID variants (e.g. BA.5) is that they grok there's no real endgame: with a new variant every few months, you're either willing to make ~permanent lifestyle changes or you're not and most people are not. https://t.co/eyst3sWW7B https://t.co/Q0NGSyC4qU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 11, 2022