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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 7, 2022

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Sun Jul 03 18:19:28 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Gavin Newsom's appeal is basically to Hillary Clinton Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dr_ilardi Yeah, most of the work I've done on this is in baseball, but there are definitely nonlinearities, e.g. going from 30 wins to 40 doesn't increase long-term revenues much but 50 (lose first or second round) to 60 (title contender) certainly does. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Jason IDK, I guess the theory is he's a "generic Democrat" who will win the elections Democrats are supposed to win, but a party wouldn't be expected to win too many elections in a recession. Also think he could underperform a generic Democrat based on personal & California baggage. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2022