Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

Created

Thu Aug 27 17:51:03 +0000 2020

Likes

396

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And, just as there was a uniquely high chance of Trump winning w/ fewer votes '16, today I believe there's a uniquely high chance (maybe 3-4%) of a 269-269 tie, w/ Biden carrying PA/MI/#NE02 and no other Trump '16 turf - a scenario the House would likely decide in Trump's favor. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, despite what the state polling averages say, I still view Biden's path of least resistance to 270 Electoral Votes as MI, #NE02, PA and *AZ,* rather than FL or WI - based on demographic patterns and what we saw from hard votes in '18. Admittedly, it's a really close call. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn much closer to 75% than 60%. and if he were ahead by 8.5 pts w LVs on 11/1, i'd say 90-95% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated