Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 6, 2021

Created

Sun Jul 26 14:09:31 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris Right, it was so stable that all the models showing Clinton with a 90%+ chance to win based on all those stable polls turned out great. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris It’s not the model specs, it’s the notion today’s polls can assure us what the race will look like in Nov. Respectfully, I disagree that it’s possible to measure the uncertainty inherent in the next three months of the race with the precision the model implies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris I certainly don’t view the prez race as a Toss Up. This far out, I also don’t view it as a 92% race either - perhaps “Likely Biden” with a 75-80% chance. As for our congressional ratings, most districts simply aren’t as closely divided/uncertain as the country. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated