Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 3, 2021

Created

Sun Jul 26 14:01:22 +0000 2020

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257

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris It’s not the model specs, it’s the notion today’s polls can assure us what the race will look like in Nov. Respectfully, I disagree that it’s possible to measure the uncertainty inherent in the next three months of the race with the precision the model implies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump’s numbers atm on Covid & race are absolutely awful. Even so, he only trails Biden by 8% in the 538 average and might only need to crawl back to within 3-4% to win the EC. Trump was within 3% as recently as *April.* After 216, we should all proceed with some caution. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris Right, it was so stable that all the models showing Clinton with a 90%+ chance to win based on all those stable polls turned out great. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated