Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 6, 2021

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Sun Jul 26 14:17:00 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris I certainly don’t view the prez race as a Toss Up. This far out, I also don’t view it as a 92% race either - perhaps “Likely Biden” with a 75-80% chance. As for our congressional ratings, most districts simply aren’t as closely divided/uncertain as the country. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris Right, it was so stable that all the models showing Clinton with a 90%+ chance to win based on all those stable polls turned out great. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris Pretty simple: I disagree because the history of movement in prez election polls is a really small n of races that might not apply to the current political era. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated