Profile Image

Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No
Hibernated No
Last Checked Nov. 14, 2022

Created

Fri Oct 28 13:28:51 +0000 2022

Likes

32

Retweets

4

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available
Profile Image

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Again, I'd direct you back to my first point -- the additional information informing our priors. There's a consensus Cartwright/Davids are up; there's a consensus GOP leads. Thus, polling showing Cartwright/Davids up doesn't change view https://t.co/EzEFbTdMab — PolitiTweet.org

Steven Anderson @S_McAnderson

@Nate_Cohn This is just not true. The aggregate of these 4 races would be 1 point better than Biden in 2020. Which… https://t.co/6vkDeGsNIJ

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

Preceded By

Profile Image

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The second reason is the third graf: the Democrats just don't have room for any losses. A world where Biden+6-8 races like NM02 and NV01 are pure tossups is not a tossup for national control. It's just not — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

Followed By

Profile Image

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris i'm saying we're sampling higher response rate *districts* that have had above average productivity in prior polls, fewer bad telephone numbers, more favorable demographics. like if you want to know why we polled NM and KS, here it is: https://t.co/B95bsXJMYx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022