Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Nov. 14, 2022

Created

Fri Oct 28 13:20:28 +0000 2022

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The second reason is the third graf: the Democrats just don't have room for any losses. A world where Biden+6-8 races like NM02 and NV01 are pure tossups is not a tossup for national control. It's just not — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If KS-3 was previously seen as something more like a pure tossup, I would have had a lot more pause about that take. But it does seem pretty clear this is a district where Dems had the edge (see Wasserman last night), even these numbers came in extra good for dems — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Again, I'd direct you back to my first point -- the additional information informing our priors. There's a consensus Cartwright/Davids are up; there's a consensus GOP leads. Thus, polling showing Cartwright/Davids up doesn't change view https://t.co/EzEFbTdMab — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn This is just not true. The aggregate of these 4 races would be 1 point better than Biden in 2020. Which… https://t.co/6vkDeGsNIJ

Posted Oct. 28, 2022