Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 14, 2022

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Fri Oct 28 13:20:27 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If KS-3 was previously seen as something more like a pure tossup, I would have had a lot more pause about that take. But it does seem pretty clear this is a district where Dems had the edge (see Wasserman last night), even these numbers came in extra good for dems — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Why? One reason: our understanding of the state of the race in these districts v nationwide. Other than KS-3, these results are all very much in line with expectations from private polling -- and that polling shows the GOP on track to take the House. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The second reason is the third graf: the Democrats just don't have room for any losses. A world where Biden+6-8 races like NM02 and NV01 are pure tossups is not a tossup for national control. It's just not — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022