Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 14, 2022

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Fri Oct 28 13:34:32 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris i'm saying we're sampling higher response rate *districts* that have had above average productivity in prior polls, fewer bad telephone numbers, more favorable demographics. like if you want to know why we polled NM and KS, here it is: https://t.co/B95bsXJMYx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Again, I'd direct you back to my first point -- the additional information informing our priors. There's a consensus Cartwright/Davids are up; there's a consensus GOP leads. Thus, polling showing Cartwright/Davids up doesn't change view https://t.co/EzEFbTdMab — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn This is just not true. The aggregate of these 4 races would be 1 point better than Biden in 2020. Which… https://t.co/6vkDeGsNIJ

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 have you done any work to figure out how the polling in these races fits v the overall house picture? it doesn't sound like it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022