Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 2, 2022

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Fri Aug 05 19:42:33 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias in the case of hispanic voters, there are plenty of serious surveys--apparently including the ANES, based on your chart--that just didn't show the GOP making gains. anyone can look at the results and see that's wrong (and other measures provide more reasonable ests) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias and they have poor facial validity because they all underestimated donald trump's support by a significant margin (what, double digits in the ANES case?) in very different ways! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias in this regard, the hard results by precinct and county are kind of dispositive. the survey data may split on whether biden made huge gains among white no college voters or whether trump surged among latinos, but in each case the results tell an unmistakble story — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022