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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2022

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Fri Aug 05 19:39:04 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias and they have poor facial validity because they all underestimated donald trump's support by a significant margin (what, double digits in the ANES case?) in very different ways! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias this has less to do with weighting and more to do with data quality. the various semi-benchmark caliber surveys/estimates all have significantly different findings by subgroups at the front-end, and most of the weighting mechanisms preserve most of those differences — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias in the case of hispanic voters, there are plenty of serious surveys--apparently including the ANES, based on your chart--that just didn't show the GOP making gains. anyone can look at the results and see that's wrong (and other measures provide more reasonable ests) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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