Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 05 19:44:53 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias in this regard, the hard results by precinct and county are kind of dispositive. the survey data may split on whether biden made huge gains among white no college voters or whether trump surged among latinos, but in each case the results tell an unmistakble story — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias in the case of hispanic voters, there are plenty of serious surveys--apparently including the ANES, based on your chart--that just didn't show the GOP making gains. anyone can look at the results and see that's wrong (and other measures provide more reasonable ests) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias high quality survey data is clearly preferrable to ecological inference. but if you have bad survey data and the survey data disagrees in material ways, clearly the survey data that's consistent with the ecological evidence has a point in its favor — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022