Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 21, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 01:17:22 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Based on recent abortion referendums, I had Phillips giving 72% of the vote to 'yes,' v. 65% so far (and there's a little election day vote left). It's one tiny county, so don't read much into it, except to say it'll clearly tighten up a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's really only one county where a decent amount of the vote has been counted, and that's Phillips County, where 'yes' is at 65% of the vote with nearly all precincts have been counted. It's just one data point, but it would be a modest underperformance for 'yes,' by my ests — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing I will say: no one should be surprised that this is close. Estimates based on national polling have long shown Kansans fairly divided over abortion, and that's basically confirmed by recent abortion referendums where abortion runs well ahead of Dems in white, GOP areas — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022