Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 01:16:18 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's really only one county where a decent amount of the vote has been counted, and that's Phillips County, where 'yes' is at 65% of the vote with nearly all precincts have been counted. It's just one data point, but it would be a modest underperformance for 'yes,' by my ests — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Democrats were about 50 percent likelier to vote early than Republicans, yielding a nearly even partisan split among early voters in a state where Republicans outnumber Democrats by nearly two-to-one. So no surprise that 'no' is off to a quick start. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Based on recent abortion referendums, I had Phillips giving 72% of the vote to 'yes,' v. 65% so far (and there's a little election day vote left). It's one tiny county, so don't read much into it, except to say it'll clearly tighten up a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022