Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 21, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 01:18:45 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing I will say: no one should be surprised that this is close. Estimates based on national polling have long shown Kansans fairly divided over abortion, and that's basically confirmed by recent abortion referendums where abortion runs well ahead of Dems in white, GOP areas — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Based on recent abortion referendums, I had Phillips giving 72% of the vote to 'yes,' v. 65% so far (and there's a little election day vote left). It's one tiny county, so don't read much into it, except to say it'll clearly tighten up a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NapervillePol well it would be pointing about 63% 'no,' but we wouldn't be publishing it since it doesn't have a great way to handle early voting unless it gets election results by method of voting or can borrow statistical power from states where the vote is already complete — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022