Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2022

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Wed Dec 29 17:52:35 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And on the other hand, Democrats might have been underdogs in both VA-2/7 on the old map in '22. By that forward looking measure, one could say the Democrats might be favored to gain a seat due to redistricting — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Take VA, for instance. Dave treats this as an R+1 shift, since Dems aren't favored to hold VA-2 (which is true). But they probably would have won VA-2 in 2020 (this is still a Biden CD). So I'm not sure I'd call this a loss due to redistricting https://t.co/gPJxcwzmKt — PolitiTweet.org

Virginia's new map is another good example. One R-leaning seat moves to D-leaning: #VA07, which helps Rep. Abigail… https://t.co/SpT9R2kIWO

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In a lot of cases, the Democrats fare a little better on the seat count when you're really careful to make sure you're not adding in expectations of a 2022 rout into the cost of redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021