Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2022

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Wed Dec 29 17:55:29 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In a lot of cases, the Democrats fare a little better on the seat count when you're really careful to make sure you're not adding in expectations of a 2022 rout into the cost of redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And on the other hand, Democrats might have been underdogs in both VA-2/7 on the old map in '22. By that forward looking measure, one could say the Democrats might be favored to gain a seat due to redistricting — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Given the extremely high relationship between presidential and congressional vote in '20, the easiest way to see that, to my mind, is to look at two measures: the number of Biden CDs and the number of CDs that are left of, say, Virginia (a hypothetical wave) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021