Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Nov. 5, 2021

Created

Fri Oct 29 13:00:29 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should note, btw, that the RV number is the important one for past vote. We already know this is a very GOP electorate from the LV-RV gap. What we don't know--and what we want to know--is whether the underlying sample is also biased. That's what past vote *could* help inform — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Once you concede that past vote is unstable and potentially biased, it's kind of hard to make much of a 4 pt gap between Biden+10 and Biden+6 Is it possible that Biden supporters are disappointed right now and saying they voted for someone else? You don't know that's *not* true — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The LV/RV question is a separate one. It's a big LV/RV gap. It's not what I'd expect. It's not matched by other polls. But this *is* a low turnout, non-federal election at a time when the Dem president approval is -10. It's not exactly insane to imagine. It's happened before https://t.co/vxxkuljKix — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021