Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Nov. 5, 2021

Created

Fri Oct 29 12:52:04 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Past vote is not necessarily a stable characteristic, like race or education or party registration. It's subject to a variety of shifting biases, which create serious challenges for weighting off of it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Recalled vote is a murky middle ground--some pollsters actually do weight on it. Others do not. Me? I don't think it should be used for weighting unless you have good reason to think your data is outright bad. So I don't think it's a good tool for unskewing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One well known bias is a winners bias: people tend to be less likely to report voting for the loser. If that's true today, then these polls might actually be biased against Biden! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021