Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 5, 2021

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Fri Oct 29 12:52:04 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Recalled vote is a murky middle ground--some pollsters actually do weight on it. Others do not. Me? I don't think it should be used for weighting unless you have good reason to think your data is outright bad. So I don't think it's a good tool for unskewing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In general, if you're going to unskew a poll, you should unskew it using data that can/should be used for weighting, not based on whether the poll findings comport with your expectations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Past vote is not necessarily a stable characteristic, like race or education or party registration. It's subject to a variety of shifting biases, which create serious challenges for weighting off of it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021