Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Nov. 3, 2021

Created

Sat Oct 23 15:04:11 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jennagiesta your effort to reduce the average to the story of the two outliers is... not convincing. 'the polls show a close race in X, but there are really two possible stories: a blow out for either side' is not a fair characterization of the data — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jennagiesta this is how polling averages work--you usually have a mean with a lot of polls around it, in this case in the mid-40s, with outliers either side. emphasizing the outliers is... usually a mistake. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jennagiesta The case is even weaker here, since the sample sizes are smaller, sub samples are unweighted and we expect meaningful noise. Drawing attention to outliers is particularly dubious — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021