Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 3, 2021

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Sat Oct 23 15:07:41 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jennagiesta The case is even weaker here, since the sample sizes are smaller, sub samples are unweighted and we expect meaningful noise. Drawing attention to outliers is particularly dubious — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jennagiesta your effort to reduce the average to the story of the two outliers is... not convincing. 'the polls show a close race in X, but there are really two possible stories: a blow out for either side' is not a fair characterization of the data — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jennagiesta fair enough! what i don't think you've really contested: whether it was fair to say biden's weak among young voters. and i do think you're seeing patterns in the clouds if you look at 10 small unweighted samples, with a 24 pt range, and divide them into two separate stories. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021