Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Dec 21 14:08:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It can also help us synthesize some of the conflicting bits of info (what wins out if you have an older electorate v. a slightly more diverse electorate, etc.; lower absentee voting but no change in dem pct, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At this stage of early voting, we also now have a new tool for analyzing the vote: our NYT/Siena data, linked to absentee records. We now have 384 respondents who have voted early, which can help us untangle ways that these voters are unique, controlling for demographics/method — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Over all, NYT/Siena respondents who have voted early in the runoff are Biden 57, Trump 35 in Sept/Oct., which is about the same as our respondents who voted early by this point of the general election — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated