Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Dec 21 14:12:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Over all, NYT/Siena respondents who have voted early in the runoff are Biden 57, Trump 35 in Sept/Oct., which is about the same as our respondents who voted early by this point of the general election — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It can also help us synthesize some of the conflicting bits of info (what wins out if you have an older electorate v. a slightly more diverse electorate, etc.; lower absentee voting but no change in dem pct, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Using this data and the voter file, our estimate is that the voters who have turned out so far would have voted essentially identically to the same point in the general election (Biden 59.4 v. 59.3), despite all the various demographic shifts and changes in vote method — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated