Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Dec 21 14:06:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At this stage of early voting, we also now have a new tool for analyzing the vote: our NYT/Siena data, linked to absentee records. We now have 384 respondents who have voted early, which can help us untangle ways that these voters are unique, controlling for demographics/method — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Looking ahead, we're about to lose a certain amount of clarity in our day-by-day comparison, since the holidays will dampen (and outright eliminate) turnout on GOP-friendly days. We'll probably watch the Dems expand their lead v. the general, and then the GOP try and claw it back — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It can also help us synthesize some of the conflicting bits of info (what wins out if you have an older electorate v. a slightly more diverse electorate, etc.; lower absentee voting but no change in dem pct, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2020 Hibernated