Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Nov 20 14:48:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A second theory was that Trump won because of a bad progressive, youth, and nonwhite (but especially Black) turnout. To win, all Democrats needed was to recreate the Obama turnout, win some Jill Stein votes, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of the data preelection suggested Biden did have some success there, but it's really, really hard to see the case for it now. In fact, many Obama-->Trump counties swung even *more* toward Trump in WI, OH, IA, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The evidence never really matched this theory IMO, but it looks even worse today. The black share of the electorate did not increase, and quite possibly dropped. The voter file data we have so far suggests that the partisan turnout balance was unchanged or even *better* for Rs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2020 Hibernated