Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Nov 20 14:46:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of the data preelection suggested Biden did have some success there, but it's really, really hard to see the case for it now. In fact, many Obama-->Trump counties swung even *more* toward Trump in WI, OH, IA, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One theory was that Trump won by flipping white, working class Obama voters, and therefore Dems needed to lure them back--maybe with a populist economic pitch. I think that explanation for Trump's win was accurate, but Biden had very, very limited success with Obama-Trump vote — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A second theory was that Trump won because of a bad progressive, youth, and nonwhite (but especially Black) turnout. To win, all Democrats needed was to recreate the Obama turnout, win some Jill Stein votes, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2020 Hibernated