Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Nov 18 13:36:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I don't think this constitutes definitive proof. But if the Times/Siena data were taken as authoritative on this question--and I don't think it can be--then you probably would have to attribute most of that 85% shift to voters actually changing their mind — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't think this is hugely surprising, given the turnout data by party that we see elsewhere in the country, like NC/FL/NV--which also have fast changing populations. But of the three, GA certainly has the most Dem trend so perhaps this might have gone differently — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And since this wasn't clear, this implies that the 'new' white/black/hisp voters in ATL were somewhat more supportive of Trump than those who voted in 2016. That said, small differences; small samples. Not at all definitive https://t.co/KwiXfOlXjn — PolitiTweet.org

The Times/Siena data doesn't show any meaningful difference between those with a 2016 or a 2020 record of voting, w… https://t.co/rgBAqBh3nq

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo