Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Nov 18 13:35:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't think this is hugely surprising, given the turnout data by party that we see elsewhere in the country, like NC/FL/NV--which also have fast changing populations. But of the three, GA certainly has the most Dem trend so perhaps this might have gone differently — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You could read into those tiny changes if you want, but I'm just calling it a wash. There's certainly no obvious evidence that the voters who turned out in 2020 were much different than 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I don't think this constitutes definitive proof. But if the Times/Siena data were taken as authoritative on this question--and I don't think it can be--then you probably would have to attribute most of that 85% shift to voters actually changing their mind — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated