Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Nov 18 13:32:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You could read into those tiny changes if you want, but I'm just calling it a wash. There's certainly no obvious evidence that the voters who turned out in 2020 were much different than 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Times/Siena data doesn't show any meaningful difference between those with a 2016 or a 2020 record of voting, within each racial group. Here, a positive number means Biden did better among 2020 vt than 2016 White -.4 Black -.8 Hispanic +.6 Asian +1.5 Other -1.4 Unknown -1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't think this is hugely surprising, given the turnout data by party that we see elsewhere in the country, like NC/FL/NV--which also have fast changing populations. But of the three, GA certainly has the most Dem trend so perhaps this might have gone differently — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated